We're known as true Contrarian's ... when others are 'yelling,' we're SELLING ...when they're 'crying'... we're BUYING

Our background at MBL & Associates & Hedgehog LLC spans over three decades with our genesis in the hedge fund industry in the late '70's when true instruments of portfolio protection were developed to control risk for wealthy Europeans. As Contrarian Investing specialists, we filled the need to preserve their privileged circumstances; as we developed special techniques which were brought about when dealing in multi currency translations.

Our old firm Princeton Economics Consultant and partner Martin A. Armstrong [we] were known as the world’s most expensive advisory company ($4000 per hour) only the FED was more expensive; but our forecasts and renowned 8.7 year Confidence model, was more accurate as governments world wide sort our council. For us to command those fees, obviously our methods, manner of research and proper due diligence permitted forward seeing predications to dedicated targets (social events) had to be accurate with our forecast and predictions. Over years, we have been invited to work on various task forces under Reagan, Bush Sr, and the Clinton Administrations.

As you learn about us, you will become acquainted with our extraordinary effort to champion a 'just cause' starting in 2001, where the small retail investors would truly have a fair competitive level playing field, not just rhetoric, we called for INVESTOR BILL OF RIGHTS. Words from former NYSE Chairman Grasso about "a level playing field" rang hollow, as it was found that exchange members specialist floor traders, corporate insiders, institutional traders to brokerage firms, hedge funds and mutual funds, were 'front running' the public investor.  (SEE) - THEORY OF DIMINISHING RETURNS under (CONTACT Page)

For years we argued, savings is always equal to investment and if there is NO Real Savings, there can be NO real net new investment, thus the last and greatest bubble balloon to burst found its pin from over leverage by false credit. These days, unregulated hedge funds lack understanding, proper hedge techniques, compound risk. They have no appreciation to inter-market relationships nor true economic forces and fail at money management disciplines. The current global meltdown was a domino effect waiting to happen from unwinding of over leverage (Carry Trade).

Our efforts did not stop there, we proved the NYSE exchange permitted flimflam when it came to how companies reported, from GAAP to Pro Forma and back to GAAP

the measurement accepted from the start.  Further condemnation was our attempt to third party in before any legal settlements, defendants, such as the fee-based ‘ratings agencies,’ professed their true independence, yet no sunlight separated one from another approving companies with no earnings but confirmed lofty price targets that could never be met nor prevailing prices sustained.

We embark to expose the major brokerage schemes and brought attention of wrongdoing to Congress, the SEC, and Attorneys General, of the self-dealing and hidden agendas years in advance of the actual bubble bursting from the Dot.Con fiasco and telecom frauds, most arising from corrupted research. Our effort-thrust did exposed and proved malfeasance on Wall Street from self-proclaimed independent firms knowingly produced dishonest research for the sake of commissions and banking/IPO fees.

Had the authorities engaged back then as a prelude they would not be so shocked or responsible for creating today's market insecurity and failures of confidence as mortgage companies imploded upon themselves. Only NYAG Eliot Switzer using much of our material, exhibits and documentation crafted a pre-mature settlement in the billions but only after trillions were lost. The major brokerages never admitting wrong doing, instead firm keep making money the old fashion way ... they fleeced clients.

We lobbied to include media as culpable for the obliteration of wealth from trusting viewing audience TV or radio listening investors, as all were duped. The media, CNBC in particular, were and remain conduits for the major firms; to which, they used their celebrity to sell how-to books on air. Here, we successfully proved to the SEC that a true 'conflict of interest' existed and eventually forced them to drop their slogan "PROFIT FROM IT" (as only they did.)

Nonetheless, resulting from contaminated stock advice by brokerages; none ever admitting guilt, their advice still remains tainted even through today. One only has to ask, if experts loved YHOO at $500 per share, why they dislike GOOG at $90 following its IPO, finally was upgraded at $500? Could there be an arrangement to move their own stock inventory over to the unsuspecting in-house clients and the viewing public?

Ask yourselves, how a stock can be upgraded to a 'Hold' following a 'Sell' recommendation? Why firms issue 'Buy' recommendations after a stock has doubled in price? Goldman Sachs (GS) recently did this with General Motors (GM) followings its move from $18 now a year later is trading at BANKRUPTED. These are slinky underhanded methods the firms employ to 'lay off' their own stock inventory at highs, and they intend to eventually downgrade into lows so to buy back shares from clients under the guise of rotation. UPDATE: their call on oil for $200 per barrel @ $140 was downgraded to 25 trading @ 34 last 69.00. (See other examples below).

Other queries must be pondered, why there are no requirements compelling firms to post their recommendation track record. Not for a year, not over 5 years, no less for a 10-year period, while running noble-sounding commercials how you need them more today than ever. It's amazing how they claim to be able to "see" a year in advance as to their forecasting, but always get it wrong by 4:00 PM.

Truth be told, for Wall Street firms, it's all about the marketing of markets and not your financial well-being. Their fear factor is whether annual bonuses in the billions will be made again and that's after commissions and churning having already cost you money. Another truth is that markets have performed just fine without the assistance of the TV media for over 200 years; but under the auspices and direction of the business media, we have seen more destruction  in a more compressed period of time than occurred during the Crash of 1929.

This is why MBL & A/S is sought as 'outside consultants' to select institutions, hedge funds and Private Clients, as honest advisors, where no conflict of interest exists. Our fee base subscription and special service is by those professionals no longer having no confidence in their own firms' research departments, seeking unbiased technical our guidance using Triangulation. Why we propose rather than provide new stock suggestion, it’s imperative to analyze your present holdings then seek proper exit strategy; when to add to lower your breakeven costs. Thereafter any ‘nominal rally’ you can extricate your money from both sides of that trade. In this manner, you execute your own trades at your own brokerage of choice, done with confidence and we will attempt to include simple charts to project the course of your holdings.

Our offer for ‘PORTFOLIO RESUSCITATION’ is directed to the individual investor to quell fears by reviewing their holdings and discovering the axiom of fear and greed only pertains to the Street itself. The brokerage firms must survive even at clients' continued expense. We are unencumbered by commissions (a form of larceny perpetrated by firms telling you to keep buying those dips). To us, the client's interest is paramount, assuming as fact, fiduciary responsibility and trust are not just sacred but have to be earned, not commanded.

UPDATE: Mass. regulators accuse Merrill Lynch of fraud Thursday, July 31, 12:40 PM AP Regulators file fraud complaint against Merrill Lynch  --- All the long faces on CNBC are just an ironic source of humor … keep in mind how Jim Cramer, Larry Kudlow, Dennis Kneale,  the "Fast Money Gang", were all pounding people (cheering crowds in the case of the "Fast – Mad Money Gang") into stocks?

We felt it would be of interest to post just a few more empirical proof examples that is the root of investor destruction, paved with lost hopes and dreams from their pursuit of that American Dream. What remains is the road that leads to those venerable firms and mahogany offices using clients slaved-to-save monies for a better life for themselves not for their clients. Nearly all the brokerage firms paid fines from misleading research and mismanagement of clients monies

I THINK - I THOUGHT - CHUMMING FOR CLIENTS: The 'Street' always has something new to try, but when what they "thought" would happen doesn't unfold as forecasted, that 'trade' suddenly becomes a "good long term hold." if you like a stock at higher price, you;'re going to love it lower, its almost a form of EXTORION. With "brokers you currently have who needs enemies?"

If those experts, 'TV talking heads, market mavens and not least, anal-sts', never see things in advance to take profits at a top, begs the question, then how do they know 'every dip' is your next opportunity to buy or when a bottom is in place? They never suggest when to take a profit to be able to redeploy that money when prices are low in effect using the market's money. Only sometimes, they offer after-the-fact "solutions," by looking through their own butts, a metaphor for rear - view. They do expect you to take losses and somehow continue to ante up more and more money.

A good example of late can be found in the corporate stock buy-back programs, which have not supported markets, as gurus claimed it would, but instead have exacerbated if not accelerated the selling. In almost every situation, the so-called market professionals get it wrong as to the cause or reason things did not work out as they said, changing from "I think" to "I thought" as viewer/investors take another hit. If all these sages are as great as they are claim, why not make them post a non-refundable performance bond on every new suggestion or produce their 1,5, or 10 year track record; they could put a muzzle on - and shut up.

QUERY: Can investors be any worse off without them? Not likely. Even as many stocks they initiated coverage on years ago were done with upgrades, these days most companies are no longer covered -- even if the firm makes a market in them. This leaves investors to fend for themselves.

Sort of what happened into the lows of 2002-03 when long-term holders after years of  a false strategy of dollar cost-averaging were told to move to cash and where the 'experts' also mocked holders, saying no one would live long enough to see their holdings  recover to original values. That was until tops were made in '05 and again '07 with upgrades, so the broker-dealers could swap their stock inventory back over to the unsuspecting public. The firms are just waiting to bring about the next wave of downgrades at lows, advising their clients to sell so the firms can buy back the stocks and start the process all over again; under the 'guise of sector rotation falsehood.'

1. THE 10 LARGEST SECURITIES FIRMS EMPLOY 16 PERCENT FEWER ANALYSTS - Bloomberg.com: Worldwide Shrinking Commissions'  Money managers will spend $7.4 billion on in-house research in 2011, up 28 percent from $5.8 billion in 2006, according to Integrity Research Associates LLC, a New York-based adviser to fund companies. At the same time, fund companies cut spending on Wall Street research to $4.9 billion in 2006 from $5.4 billion in 2004 and will reduce it to $4 billion in four years, Integrity estimates.

``The traditional equities business is under extraordinary pressure from shrinking commissions to regulatory burdens to alternative research sources, and it is increasingly hard for analysts to pay for themselves,'' said Henry Blodget, 41, a former Merrill Lynch & Co. Internet analyst. ``I expect other firms will soon do the same'' as Prudential, he said.

2. THE BROKERAGES STRIKE OUT ON BIG OIL, Adam Lass, - Market Analyst, WaveStrength Options Weekly - It’s amazing just how badly the brokerages have blown the call on big oil. Over the past 13 months, the major houses, including Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, JP Morgan and Deutsche Securities, have downgraded the top-three components of the S&P Energy Select SPDR (XLE:AMEX), Exxon Mobil (XOM:NYSE), Chevron (CVX:NYSE) and Conoco Phillips (COP:NYSE) 13 times.  What has their advice been worth? Nothing. In fact, less than nothing! During the same time period, the energy stocks of the XLE have gained 49%. What’s more, during that same period, proper use of call options against the oil patch could have netted you better than 816% gains. *

It is still not too late for a UNION between us to evaluate and develop a strategy before things get really insufferable.

Blissful Ignorance: "It is astonishing that the subprime/housing-induced inflection point in credit came from credit expansion to now credit contraction, and continues to be ignored by – stock mongering bulls.”

We do what commission driven fined-firms never will ...to work for you and more importantly after 9-years waiting, we can certainly lower your break even basis as you place your own orders at your own on-line discount firms. Any questions or requests for information will be answered immediately. it's time to get away from the paying brokers who claim you need them more than they need you ... the reverse is true, they need your money to survive.

From when we launched this site and declared the TOP was in place on 7/16/07 the DOW printed 14,100; as of 10/10/08, the DOW has lost -47.5% from those highs through 9/16/08. The so-called market gurus [aka] 'serial offenders' claim that FUNDAMENTALLY nothing has changed but the American Dream has morphed into the never ending nightmare. 

The numbers tell the tale, Dow is down 2,155 points, -18.1% since our 'Beware of the Ides of October' those who claim to keep a 'watchful eye' never see tops yet repeatedly call bottoms. In menacing report 10/12/08 'Winter of Our Discontent'

Investor Salvation

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There are no reliable sources in a 'commission drive industry' where the retail investors have been treated like a cash cow rather than a sacred one, while Barron’s questions why the drop in consumer confidence “difficult to figure. History should be foreboding reminder and our offer to independently review your holdings can prevent a repeat of the past. To see the ferocity of this years bear market - exceeding 1937, (SEE) - CONTACT Page among pages we confirm markets can be timed. @ 2009 LONG PORTOLIO

Barron’s Cover Story, 07/19/2008

-What to Bank On -

Barron’s Cover Story, 03/24/2008

Banks Finally HIT BOTTOM

CWATCH CAREFULLY, THINK LOGICALLY AND RESPOND ACCORDINGLY

** IF NOT DURING THESE VOLITILE TIMES THEN WHEN WILL EXPERTS GET IT RIGHT  **

** (Bloomberg) - HEDGE FUNDS LOST $350 BILLION LAST YEAR, MOST ON RECORD -Jan. 13,2007-Amid Global Market Rout -- About 90 percent of the money was lost in the three months to the end of November, according to a preliminary report published  by Singapore-based data provider Eurekahedge Pte. Funds that invested in North America declined the most, posting a drop of $183 billion for the year, the report said.  The hedge-fund industry shrank by about a fifth to $1.5 trillion from a peak of $1.9 trillion.

** (Bloomberg) - ANALYSTS' PROFIT FORECASTS: WORSE THAN EVER! - August 22, 2008 - Surveyed "at the start of the year, profits estimates at banks, brokers and insurance companies were projected to rise 22 percent in 2008, according to the average estimate of analysts; they're now expected to decline 48 percent." Well, the numbers continue  to come in even worse - Citibank (74% down) - Morgan Stanley (-72%) - Goldman Sachs (-67%) - Merrill Lynch (-77%) - Deutsche Bank (-71%) - Barclays (-71%),

** (Reuters) - IN A SEASON OF CHILLING NUMBERS- 10/21/08- is this one: American households have lost something in the order of $7 trillion of wealth this year alone

** (BusinessWeek) - WHAT GOOD ARE ECONOMISTS ANYWAY? April 16, 2009 -Economist’s worst sins is hubris and why they failed to predict the worst global economic crisis since the 1930s

CABLE WARS:

The gag order came from NBC Universal President and CEO Jeff Zucker- the NBC bosses' decision to tamp down and enter damage control mode with a sure-to-leak order dictating editorial coverage indicates that they are taking the PR downside of this debacle seriously after foolishly offering up Cramer to Stewart earlier this week. Denial appears to be the official position on Jim Cramer following his panting by Jon Stewart. CNBCers don't believe there's a problem, while MSNBC is doing their best to pretend Cramer doesn't exist. TV Newser reports that MSNBC producers were told not to talk about Cramer appearance on the Daily Show last night. The contretemps has been cable wallpaper all week...

A current CNBC reporter expressed precisely the same sentiment in an interview today: That people looking for free stock tips on TV get what they pay for.

         16 - Aug  Close    52Wk Lows    Cycle Highs YDT

DJIA                11660.0013,265.00        - 8379.00        14198.10    -36.8%

SP50          1298,20    1468.30         - 840.54   1576.06    -40.3%

Nasdaq              2453.00    2653.00        - 1493.42   2861.51   -41.5%

DJ TRAN          5,154.00   4571.00        - 3367.35   5536.87   -24.6%

DJ UTIL              467.27     532.44         - 294.30     555.50    -33.6%

Russell 2000753.37      768.00         - 330.24     862.00     -38.7%

Semis - SOX               376.43     408.04         - 330.24     549.39             -48.7%

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